IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
North Dakota
Summit League
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.4	#248
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.2	#137
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.6	#221

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.8	#285

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.1%	7.8%	4.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.5	15.0	15.5

.500 or above	30.8%	50.5%	24.5%
.500 or above in Conference	54.5%	66.9%	50.6%
Conference Champion	6.3%	10.7%	4.8%
Last Place in Conference	0.2%	0.1%	0.2%

First Four	2.1%	2.2%	2.0%
First Round	4.2%	6.9%	3.4%
Second Round	0.3%	0.5%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Miami (OH) (Away) - 24.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	2 - 6	2 - 9
Quad 4	7 - 4	10 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	179	@ Miami (OH)	L	69-76	24%
Dec 02, 2020	337	@ Dixie St.	W	68-62	72%
Dec 04, 2020	37	@ Minnesota	L	62-82	4%
Dec 10, 2020	206	South Dakota	L	76-78	41%
Dec 11, 2020	100	South Dakota St.	L	72-82	18%
Dec 12, 2020	165	North Dakota St.	L	69-74	34%
Jan 02, 2021	275	UMKC	W	71-67	63%
Jan 03, 2021	275	UMKC	W	71-67	63%
Jan 08, 2021	178	@ Oral Roberts	L	75-82	26%
Jan 09, 2021	178	@ Oral Roberts	L	75-82	26%
Jan 15, 2021	165	North Dakota St.	L	71-73	43%
Jan 16, 2021	165	North Dakota St.	L	71-73	43%
Jan 22, 2021	100	@ South Dakota St.	L	70-83	13%
Jan 23, 2021	100	@ South Dakota St.	L	70-83	14%
Jan 29, 2021	333	Western Illinois	W	84-73	82%
Jan 30, 2021	333	Western Illinois	W	84-73	81%
Feb 05, 2021	305	@ Denver	L	76-77	50%
Feb 06, 2021	305	@ Denver	L	76-77	50%
Feb 12, 2021	206	South Dakota	W	78-77	52%
Feb 13, 2021	206	South Dakota	W	78-77	52%
Feb 19, 2021	196	@ Nebraska Omaha	L	74-80	31%
Feb 20, 2021	196	@ Nebraska Omaha	L	74-80	31%
Projected Record						9 - 13	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Summit League Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.2	0.9	1.7	1.6	1.2	0.4		6.1	1st
2nd										0.1	0.8	2.4	3.0	2.0	0.6	0.1			8.9	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.1	1.3	4.1	4.3	1.8	0.2	0.0				11.9	3rd
4th							0.0	0.3	2.3	5.2	4.3	1.2	0.1						13.3	4th
5th						0.0	0.7	3.4	6.0	4.0	0.8	0.0							14.9	5th
6th					0.1	1.1	4.3	6.0	3.1	0.5	0.0								15.2	6th
7th			0.0	0.4	1.9	4.7	4.9	2.2	0.3	0.0									14.2	7th
8th		0.1	0.7	2.5	3.7	2.6	1.0	0.1											10.5	8th
9th	0.2	0.8	1.5	1.5	0.7	0.2	0.0												4.8	9th
10th																				10th

Total	0.2	0.8	2.2	4.3	6.4	8.7	10.8	11.9	11.8	11.1	10.0	8.1	5.7	3.9	2.2	1.2	0.4			Total

Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.4		0.4	0.0
15-1	95.3%	1.2		1.0	0.1
14-2	73.4%	1.6		1.0	0.6	0.1
13-3	43.4%	1.7		0.8	0.7	0.2	0.0
12-4	15.5%	0.9		0.2	0.4	0.2	0.1
11-5	3.0%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
10-6	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	6.1%	6.1		3.5	1.8	0.6	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.4%		52.3%	52.3%		13.8													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.2
15-1	1.2%		29.7%	29.7%		14.1													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.9
14-2	2.2%		26.1%	26.1%		14.7													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.1	1.6
13-3	3.9%		16.6%	16.6%		15.0														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	3.3
12-4	5.7%		12.5%	12.5%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.3	0.4	5.0
11-5	8.1%		8.7%	8.7%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	7.4
10-6	10.0%		6.3%	6.3%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.5	9.4
9-7	11.1%		4.6%	4.6%		16.0																0.0	0.5	10.6
8-8	11.8%		3.0%	3.0%		16.0																0.0	0.3	11.4
7-9	11.9%		1.9%	1.9%		16.0																	0.2	11.7
6-10	10.8%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	10.8
5-11	8.7%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	8.6
4-12	6.4%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	6.4
3-13	4.3%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	4.3
2-14	2.2%																							2.2
1-15	0.8%																							0.8
0-16	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		5.1%	5.1%	0.0%	15.3													0.0	0.2	0.6	1.3	2.9	94.9		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%